How prediction market prices work
A contract trading at 62 cents implies roughly a 62% chance. Here is where that number comes from and what it leaves out.
Trading basics
5 stories, newest first.
How an order book works: bids, asks and the spread
Every market price is the meeting point of two lists of orders. Reading those lists shows what a trade will cost before you place it.
Position sizing: the math of risking 1%
How much you buy matters more than what you buy. One formula turns a risk limit into a share count, and the numbers show why small is durable.
Prop firm evaluations explained: targets, drawdowns and the fine print
Pay a fee, pass a trading test, trade the firm's money. The rules decide whether that is a fair shot, so here is how they work.
Trailing versus static drawdown: the rule that ends most funded accounts
Two accounts with the same $2,500 loss limit can be very different to trade. The difference is whether the floor moves.
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